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Tuesday, June 3, 2008

It's Over: Clinton to Concede Obama Has Enough to Win. UPDATE: CLINTON NOT CONCEDING.

The AP is reporting that tonight, Senator Hillary Clinton will acknowledge that Obama has enough delegates to win the nomination. However, in typical Clinton fashion, she will stop short of conceding the race. From MSNBC:

Hillary Rodham Clinton will concede Tuesday night that Barack Obama has the delegates to secure the Democratic nomination, campaign officials said, effectively ending her bid to be the nation's first female president.

The former first lady will stop short of formally suspending or ending her race in her speech in New York City. She will pledge to continue to speak out on issues like health care. But for all intents and purposes, the two senior officials said, the campaign is over.

Most campaign staff will be let go and will be paid through June 15, said the officials who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to divulge her plans.
My guess is this will still take another week or two to come to a complete close. I don't have any information telling me this, but I would expect to see some sort press conference, probably in primetime ala Al Gore in 2000, conceding the race to Obama within the next two weeks, if not earlier, perhaps even by Monday.

Voting ends at 9pm ET in South Dakota, and in Montana at 10pm ET.


Not so fast there, Obama. CNN is quoting Terry McAuliffe who says Hillary is ABSOLUTELY not going to concede that Obama has enough delegates to win. What a crack-up! To quote my favorite line from Disney's animated Robin Hood, "Whose driving this flying umbrella??" You've got Bill out there saying this is the last day of the campaign, sources telling the AP (not exactly a FOX News type organization) that she's done, and Terry McAuliffe saying this:

Clinton said she was "absolutely" not prepared to admit Obama has beaten her in the race, according to Terry McAuliffe, her campaign chairman.

Media reports saying she was ready to concede was "100 per incorrect," he said.

Obama "doesn't have the numbers today, and until someone has the numbers the race goes on," McAuliffe told CNN, denying a report by The Associated Press that a concession was near.

CNN goes on to say:

CNN senior political correspondent Candy Crowley reported that "only a handful of people at the inner core of the Clinton campaign knows what she's thinking about doing when Tuesday's dust settles, adding that "those who have been with her since nearly the beginning are saying she will not push this into the convention. As one close Clinton supporter put it, she's acutely aware of her place in the party. She will not ruin the party."

She may not ruin the party, but she's sure going to ruin Obama's celebration tonight. What a sore loser. I hope my kids don't learn how to lose gracefully from her.

Update 2:

I'm pretty sure the AP story said she was going to say that Obama has enough delegates to win, however, the Clinton camp is in big denial mode (as if that's any different than usual):

From CNN:

The Clinton campaign just released the following statement:

"The AP story is incorrect. Senator Clinton will not concede the nomination this evening."

Update 3:

I think this is the Clinton camp splitting hairs ala "It depends on what your definition of is is." I'll guarantee tonight that she'll say Obama has enough delegates to win the nomination, but then she'll make the argument that she's winning the popular vote. It's essentially what the AP story said: she will "concede" Obama has enough delegates. I'm sure it's the word "concede" that has the Hill camp in an uproar.

I still stand by my assessment that Clinton will be out in the next couple of weeks. She's trying to make the argument that she's ahead in the popular vote (if you don't count caucus states, etc.) but the pressure will be on to end the race. Nancy Pelosi is expected to announce her support for Obama possibly tomorrow. Once she does, that's the signal that it's over for Hillary. All signs (other than what's coming from the horse's mouth) are that she's ready to get out.

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